10.15.2010

UFC 120 Predictions

That's right campers, it is time for some predictionating!

185 lbs.: Michael Bisping (185) vs. Yoshihiro Akiyama
Prediction: Bisping by TKO in Round 2
Reason: I may not like Michael Bisping but that's got nothing to do with his ability to fight, I just think he's a douchebag Brit. That said, I think he's going to come out fired up and throwing leather since he's on his home turf and doesn't want to look like a punk.

170 lbs.: Carlos Condit vs. Dan Hardy
Prediction: Hardy by KO in Round 2
Reason: I'm not sure what's up with Carlos Condit, he went from being virtually unbeatable to being rather beatable. Sometimes when that Loss cherry gets popped, a whole bunch of other losses just follow naturally and I'm not saying it'll happen here but Condit appeared, to me, a little cautious in his last couple of fights I've seen (admittedly I may have missed some). I also think Hardy's going to be similarly fired up and while he is a wanker, he's also a very, very dangerous striker with "Go sleep, nighty-night" power in both hands.

170 lbs.: John Hathaway vs. Mike Pyle
Prediction: Unanimous Decision
Reason: Pyle's no pushover and Hathaway's no joke, this is gonna be a good fight. This could be a Fight of the Night.

265 lbs.: Travis Browne vs. Cheick Kongo
Prediction: Kongo by TKO in Round 3
Reason: I'm not too familiar with Travis Browne. He's got a great record but is stepping up into a whole other level of combat with Kongo. Kongo is a kickboxing star with great striking and a world of experience which, I think will be the difference in the end.

170 lbs.: James Wilks vs. Claude Patrick
Prediction: Patrick by TKO in Round 3

155 lbs.: Spencer Fisher vs. Kurt Warburton
Prediction: Fisher by Unanimous Decision

205 lbs.: Fabio Maldonado vs. James McSweeney
Prediction: Maldonado by TKO in Round 3

205 lbs.: Cyrille Diabate vs. Alexander Gustafsson
Prediction: Gustafsson by Split Decision

155 lbs.: Mark Holst vs. Paul Sass
Prediction: Sass by Unanimous Decision

265 lbs.: Rob Broughton vs. Vinicius Kappke de Quieroz
Prediction: Submission (Choke) in Round 1

Fight of the Night: Fisher vs Warburton
Submission of the Night: Queiroz
Knockout of the Night: Hardy

There ya go, folks. Check back and see how I did, submit your own predictions or a link to yours and I'll come and check them out. At UFC 119, I ended up #62 out of some 11,000 players on the UFC Fantasy Picks.

Some of the other folks I follow and have checked their calls:
Zach at the Sports Jury
MMAHotstuff at ESPN's MMA Blog

Update 10.17.10: Well, I barely stayed above .500 on my picks but, because of how I picked the finishes, I still did really well on the UFC pick'em. Well enough to break the top 50 and even the top 40. I ended up #36 of just under 8900 players. Which is pretty freaking good. I missed all three of my of the Night calls though, oops.

The fights were pretty decent. I enjoyed watching Carlos Condit knock Dan Hardy out cold. Seeing Mike Pyle just pwn John Hathaway for three rounds was impressive, more so considering Hathaway's previously unblemished 14-0 record, now 14-1. And sorry, I'm just not very impressed with Michael Bisping, he does the look and the act and everything but that's what it feels like, a big act. I don't think he's got the heart to be a champion, he'd like to be one but I don't think he's got it in him.

The big thing is that with 120 out of the way, we've got the rather much more star studded and awesome 121 coming in fast on its heels! Here's the card:
265 lbs.: Brock Lesnar vs. Cain Velasquez <--- Awesomeness! Cain is a bad man, Brock's a bad man!
205 lbs.: Matt Hamill vs. Tito Ortiz <--- Hamill should pwn Tito. It should be fun to watch.
265 lbs.: Gabriel Gonzaga vs. Brendan Schaub <--- Schaub's an up and comer, Gonzaga's a wild bear!
170 lbs.: Martin Kampmann vs. Jake Shields <--- Holy shit, this is the fourth fight on the card!?!
170 lbs.: Diego Sanchez vs. Paulo Thiago <--- Holy shit! This is the fifth fight on the card!?!
185 lbs.: Ryan Jensen vs. Court McGee
185 lbs.: Patrick Cote vs. Tom Lawlor <--- Big fan of Filthy here but he'll have his hands full with Cote.
265 lbs.: Gilbert Yvel vs. Jon Madsen <--- Big step up for Madsen, Yvel's gonna be a big task.
155 lbs.: Sam Stout vs. Paul Taylor <--- Holy shit, this fight didn't even make the telecast?
170 lbs.: Mike Guymon vs. Daniel Roberts
185 lbs.: Chris Camozzi vs. Dongi Yang

Full post on this massive card later this week.
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