2.16.2009

UFC 95 Predictions

With UFC 95 coming up (Feb-21-2009 9pm ET/PT on Spike TV), I thought it was time to put my prediction stake in the ground again and see if I can improve my numbers, I'm currently running at just over 50% right calls and very, very few bullseyes (that's calling the round and way the fight ends).

Main event:
Diego Sanchez (19-2) vs. Joe Stevenson (29-9)
Prediction: Sanchez by TKO in Round 2.
Reason: Sanchez is dropping down to 155 for the first time. He was an animal at 170 who overwhelmed many of his opponents with his intensity and relentless attack. I expect he'll be even more dominant at 155. And, honestly, I've not been much impressed with Joe Stevenson in his last several fights.

Undercard:
Dan Hardy (20–6) vs. Rory Markham (16-4)
Prediction: Hardy by unanimous decision
Reason: This is a tough call, I'm not overly familiar with either fighter.

Nate Marquardt (27-8-2) vs. Wilson Gouveia (12-5)
Prediction: Marquardt by TKO in Round 1

Demian Maia (9-0) vs. Chael Sonnen (21-9-1)
Prediction: Maia by submission in Round 2

Josh Koscheck (12-3) vs. Paulo Thiago (7-0)
Prediction: Koscheck by TKO in Round 2

Paul Kelly (8-1) Vs. Troy Mandaloniz (3-1)
Prediction: Kelly by TKO in Round 1
Reason: Kelly's a beast who brings a full head of steam into the octagon. I just get the sense that he's going to overwhelm Mandaloniz.

One of these days, I'll have to compile all of my predictions and get a real scorecard pulled together.
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